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BROADWAY TICKETS
A Night with Janis Joplin
A Streetcar Named Desire
After Midnight
Annie
Bad Jews
Beautiful: The Carole King Musical
Big Fish - The Musical
Billy Crystal: 700 Sundays
Bullets Over Broadway
Cat On A Hot Tin Roof
Chicago - The Musical
First Date
Jersey Boys
Kinky Boots
Les Miserables
Macbeth
Mamma Mia!
Matilda - The Musical
Memphis - The Musical
Motown - The Musical
Newsies - The Musical
No Man?s Land
No Man's Land
Once
Outside Mullingar
Phantom of the Opera
Pippin
Rock Of Ages
Rocky - The Musical
Rodgers and Hammerstein's Cinderella - The Musical
Romeo And Juliet
Soul Doctor
Spider-Man: Turn Off the Dark
The Book Of Mormon
The Bridges of Madison County
The Glass Menagerie
The Lion King
The Phantom of the Opera
The Snow Geese
The Winslow Boy
Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike
Waiting for Godot
Wicked
A few league executives mentioned to me during the preseason what an interesting position the Pacers were in -- a very good team, with a star player (Danny Granger) struggling through an unknown injury, in the same conference as a juggernaut. Should the Pacers kick the can down the road a few years, perhaps by dealing David West's expiring contract for a no. 1 pick, hoping to peak again during the primes of Paul George and Roy Hibbert, when the Heat might be in decline? It turned out to be a hot-button question, though more a theoretical one, since the small-market Pacers could not afford to alienate a tepid fan base by taking a calculated step back. (Nor would ownership approve such a thing.) Some rival execs took the cold route, suggesting the Pacers should dangle West in search of a pick. But most urged Indiana to stand pat and go for it, even if the Pacers internally concluded they had only something like a 5 percent chance of winning a ring. Only a few teams each season reach even those slim odds, a point at which one ill-timed injury or stroke of matchup luck can vault a 5-percenter onto the podium next to David Stern. And, boom, here we are. The Miami Heat are the best team in the NBA. That's nice for them, and it's also not very relevant now, as they stare at a home elimination game. Dwyane Wade is a hobbled, sad wraith, Chris Bosh is dealing with an ankle issue (and a Hibbert-West issue), and the Heat as they exist today are not the Heat that won 27 games in a row. That's not to take away from what Indiana has done. The Pacers are missing Granger, and though his near season-long absence helped make George what he is now, the Pacers could have possibly already won this series if they had a single competent two-way bench player. Indiana's defense, the best in the league, has defanged Miami's 3-point attack, and the team's combination of size and physicality has taken the Heat almost completely out of its game. The Pacers are good enough that they'd have accomplished a percentage of this even against a peak Heat team. This isn't a peak Heat team. And that's fine! As much as we all freak out about season-ending injuries to guys like Derrick Rose and Russell Westbrook in the playoffs -- and the wave of star injuries over the past two seasons has been unusual -- injuries of one kind or another affect championship odds every season. All any team can do is beat the competition in front of them. The Pacers have done that three times in six games against Miami, and they've earned a surprising chance at the Finals tonight. The 5 percent theory lives. This is the second straight season that an invulnerable team has suddenly become very vulnerable in the conference finals. The Heat were 45-3 in their last 48 games going into this series, and they inspired some very serious Fo-Fo-Fo talk before the playoffs. Now they're on death's door. The Spurs last season were 31-2 over 33 games before the Thunder figured out how to defend them and bulldozed San Antonio out of the playoffs. There's a lesson here: The postseason is a different animal. We should be cautious next time, present company included, getting carried away with regular-season dominance. The combination of wear-and-tear injuries and specific matchup issues can blow a hole in that invulnerability very fast. The best teams in the regular season are the best teams, and they do have the best odds of winning the championship. But the margin between "best" and "second best" can shrink over a short series against a single, well-equipped opponent. The Pacers through six games know precisely what they are, rotationwise. Their starting lineup has destroyed Miami, just as it destroyed the league all season, and if the Pacers can just stay afloat when the bench guys come in, they have a great shot to beat Miami on any court. Indiana's starters in this series are plus-49 over 153 minutes, the equivalent of beating the Heat units they've faced by about 16 points per game over a 48-minute game. That is astounding. No other Pacers lineup has logged more than 14 minutes in this series. Think about that: Indiana's second most-used lineup in this series has averaged about two minutes per game, and that 14-minute group is also the only lineup besides the starters to have appeared in all six games so far. Frank Vogel tonight will extend his starters as far as they can go. His bench is a disaster, and he knows it. The second D.J. Augustin comes in the game, you can almost feel the ground tremors as the entire population of Indianapolis recoils from their television screens in horror and flees the room. When the Heat see Augustin, they transition right into pick-and-roll sets in which their point guard, Mario Chalmers or Norris Cole, screens for LeBron James, knowing Augustin has zero clue how to deal with the other half of pick-and-roll defense. Sam Young cannot catch or hold a regulation basketball, though he's working hard on defense. Tyler Hansbrough and Ian Mahinmi try hard and know what to do, but the Heat understand how punchless they are on offense compared to West and Hibbert, and are treating them accordingly. Vogel plays only one of them at a time, and the Pacers run the same general pick-and-roll-to-post-up sets with those units as they do when both Hibbert and West are in the game. But those plays don't work as well, because the Heat keenly rejigger their rotations to load up on whichever starting big is in the game, giving Hansbrough/Mahinmi some more breathing space and forcing those lesser bigs to make plays they generally can't make. The starters can't play all 48 minutes, and I'm not sure Vogel can extend them any further than he already has. But he might try, and as we saw in Game 5, foul trouble to Indiana might be the single most important variable in this series. A few extra minutes with Augustin in place of Stephenson or Hill could quite literally cost Indiana a trip to the Finals.
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